2023-11-15 • Updated
The U.S. dollar experienced significant losses as October's inflation data hinted at the Federal Reserve concluding interest rate hikes. The dollar index dropped 1.50% to its lowest since September. October's consumer price index (CPI) showed a flat monthly change and a 3.2% increase over the previous year, with core CPI slightly below forecasts at 0.2% and 4%. U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year yield dropping over 18 basis points to 4.4%. Analysts suggest the Fed might halt rate hikes due to soft inflation and tight financial conditions, with markets anticipating rate cuts in May 2024.
GBPUSD on the Daily timeframe chart, as seen above, is currently trading within a supply zone. The 100-day moving average provides additional confluence for a possible bearish momentum. Another considerable confluence is the fact that the 50-day moving average is currently below the 100 and 200 period moving averages.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 1.22481
Invalidation: 1.25577
When a trendline supports gets broken, it flips over and becomes a resistance - this is basic break-and-retest knowledge. Considering that price is retesting the trendline resistance whilst inside a supply zone - as seen in the chart - adds further confirmation to the possibility of a drop in prices.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 1.07090
Invalidation: 1.09564
The Daily timeframe of the USDCHF chart is currently approaching a demand zone. A few other confluences to consider in favour of the bullish movement include; the trendline support, the 100-day moving average support, and the 88% of the Fibonacci retracement level.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 0.90069
Invalidation: 0.88306
The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
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Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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